Financial Planning

Reflections on Life, Markets and Economy

Produce your own 2023 “surprises” by improving your health, happiness and financial life in the areas you can control! If we get surprises showing inflation dropping faster, or, if corporate profits and consumers weather the higher interest rate environment better than expected - the market could go up, at least some. Plus the market looks ahead, so if it becomes evident that interest rate cuts are on the horizon, that will also push stocks higher in advance of those cuts.

Active Management Hasn’t Shined in Volatile Markets

A historical analysis of active US-domiciled equity funds finds no meaningful relation between market volatility and managers’ success rates; the implication is that traditional active investments may compound your concerns during times of market uncertainty.